The Impact of Atmospheric Conditions on the Baseball Totals Market

Rodney Paul, Andrew Weinbach and Chris Weinbach ()
Additional contact information
Chris Weinbach: STEM Partners, LLC

International Journal of Sport Finance, 2014, vol. 9, issue 3, 249-260

Abstract: A study of the physics of baseball has shown that air density plays a significant role in the distance a batted baseball will travel. Air density is a function of altitude, temperature, humidity, and barometric pressure. This paper tests if air density impacts the totals market in Major League Baseball by influencing the number of runs in a game above and beyond the betting market total. Through regression analysis and betting simulations of the 2012 season, it is shown that air density has an inverse relationship with total runs scored and simple betting strategies are constructed that yield positive returns.

Keywords: baseball; weather; scoring; betting; market efficiency (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.fitinfotech.com/IJSF/IJSFbackissueWVU.tpl (text/html)
Full-text download requires subscription from FIT.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:jsf:intjsf:v:9:y:2014:i:3:p:249-260

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.fitinfote ... IJSFbackissueWVU.tpl

Access Statistics for this article

International Journal of Sport Finance is currently edited by Arne Feddersen, Babatunde Buraimo, Joachim Prinz and Jane Ruseski

More articles in International Journal of Sport Finance from Fitness Information Technology
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Victor Matheson ().