Details about Rodney Joseph Paul

Access statistics for papers by Rodney Joseph Paul.

Last updated 2024-08-08. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: ppa514

Working Papers

2011

1. CEO Turnover: More Evidence on the Role of Performance Expectations
   Working Papers, University of Alberta, Department of Economics View citations (3)
2. The Belief in the "Hot Hand" in the NFL: Evidence from Betting Volume Data
   Working Papers, University of Alberta, Department of Economics

2010

3. Consumption Benefits and Gambling: Evidence From the NCAA Basketball Betting Market
   Working Papers, University of Alberta, Department of Economics View citations (3)
   See also Journal Article Consumption benefits and gambling: Evidence from the NCAA basketball betting market, Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier (2013) View citations (15) (2013)

2008

4. Are Behavioral Biases Consistent Across the Atlantic? The Over-Under Market for European Soccer
   IASE Conference Papers, International Association of Sports Economists
   See also Journal Article Are Behavioral Biases Consistent Across the Atlantic?: The Over/Under Market for European Soccer, Journal of Gambling Business and Economics, University of Buckingham Press (2009) View citations (2) (2009)
5. Effects of Promotions on Major League Baseball Attendance
   IASE Conference Papers, International Association of Sports Economists

2007

6. The Role of Productivity Growth and Farmers' Income Protection Policies in the Decline of Relative Farm Prices in the United States
   Agribusiness & Applied Economics Report, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article The role of productivity growth and farmers' income protection policies in the decline of relative farm prices in the United States, Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier (2008) View citations (4) (2008)

2002

7. Efficient Markets, Fair Bets, and Profitability in NBA Totals 1995-96 to 2001-02
   Working Papers, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University
   See also Journal Article Efficient markets, fair bets, and profitability in NBA totals 1995-96 to 2001-02, The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier (2004) View citations (9) (2004)

Journal Articles

2024

1. Point shaving? A novel experiment and new insights
   Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 2024, 42, (C)

2023

2. Behavioral Biases in Daily Fantasy Baseball: The Case of the Hot Hand
   Journal of Sports Economics, 2023, 24, (3), 374-401 View citations (1)

2019

3. Attendance in the Canadian Hockey League: The Impact of Winning, Fighting, Uncertainty of Outcome, and Weather on Junior Hockey Attendance
   IJFS, 2019, 7, (1), 1-11
4. Celebrity attraction in the minors: the case of Tim Tebow
   Journal of Economics and Finance, 2019, 43, (4), 795-812

2018

5. Tests of Racial Discrimination in a Simple Financial Market: Managers in Major League Baseball
   IJFS, 2018, 6, (1), 1-10

2016

6. Performance expectations and the tenure of head coaches: Evidence from NCAA football
   Research in Economics, 2016, 70, (3), 482-492 View citations (8)

2015

7. Player absence and betting lines in the NBA
   Finance Research Letters, 2015, 13, (C), 130-136 View citations (2)
8. Political Correctness, Selection Bias, and the NCAA Basketball Tournament
   Journal of Sports Economics, 2015, 16, (2), 201-213 View citations (2)
9. Using Prediction Market Prices to Differentiate Factors that Influence the Highest and Lowest Priced Tickets in Dynamic Pricing for Major League Baseball
   Journal of Prediction Markets, 2015, 9, (1), 43-63

2014

10. Bettor Belief in the “Hot Handâ€
    Journal of Sports Economics, 2014, 15, (6), 636-649 View citations (11)
11. Bettor Habits When Point Spreads and Money lines are Offered on the Same Game: The NFL
    Journal of Prediction Markets, 2014, 8, (3), 57-74 View citations (1)
12. Market Efficiency and Behavioral Biases in the WNBA Betting Market
    IJFS, 2014, 2, (2), 1-10 View citations (2)
13. Similarities in fan preferences for minor-league baseball across the American Southeast
    Journal of Economics and Finance, 2014, 38, (1), 150-163 View citations (2)
14. The Effects of the Clock and Kickoff Rule Changes on Actual and Market-Based Expected Scoring in NCAA Football
    IJFS, 2014, 2, (2), 1-14 View citations (2)
15. The Impact of Atmospheric Conditions on the Baseball Totals Market
    International Journal of Sport Finance, 2014, 9, (3), 249-260
16. The Relationship between Sportsbook Volume, Forecast Accuracy, and Market Efficiency: The NFL and NCAA Football
    Journal of Prediction Markets, 2014, 8, (2), 29-42 View citations (4)
17. Understanding Price Movements in Point-Spread Betting Markets: Evidence from NCAA Basketball
    Eastern Economic Journal, 2014, 40, (4), 518-534 View citations (2)

2013

18. American Hockey League Attendance: A Study of Fan Preferences for Fighting, Team Performance, and Promotions
    International Journal of Sport Finance, 2013, 8, (1), 21-38
19. Baseball
    Journal of Sports Economics, 2013, 14, (2), 115-132 View citations (5)
20. Bettor Biases and the ‘Home-Underdog’ Bias in the NFL
    International Journal of Sport Finance, 2013, 8, (4), 294-311
21. Consumption benefits and gambling: Evidence from the NCAA basketball betting market
    Journal of Economic Psychology, 2013, 39, (C), 376-386 View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper Consumption Benefits and Gambling: Evidence From the NCAA Basketball Betting Market, Working Papers (2010) View citations (3) (2010)
22. Fireworks Saturation and Attendance in Minor League Baseball
    International Journal of Sport Finance, 2013, 8, (4), 312-326
23. THE “LARGE-FIRM” EFFECT? BETTOR PREFERENCES AND MARKET PRICES IN NCAA FOOTBALL
    Journal of Prediction Markets, 2013, 7, (2), 29-41 View citations (3)
24. The Yankee Effect in Minor League Baseball
    New York Economic Review, 2013, 44, (1), 32-42
25. UNCERTAINTY OF OUTCOME AND TELEVISION RATINGS FOR THE NHL AND MLS
    Journal of Prediction Markets, 2013, 7, (1), 53-65 View citations (5)

2012

26. Measuring and Forecasting Fan Interest in NFL Football Games
    Journal of Gambling Business and Economics, 2012, 6, (3), 34-46
27. Response to Comment on “Investigating Allegations of Pointshaving in NCAA Basketball Using Actual Sportsbook Betting Percentagesâ€
    Journal of Sports Economics, 2012, 13, (2), 211-217 View citations (1)
28. Sportsbook pricing and the behavioral biases of bettors in the NHL
    Journal of Economics and Finance, 2012, 36, (1), 123-135 View citations (9)
29. Uncertainty of Outcome and Attendance in College Football: Evidence from Four Conferences
    The Economic and Labour Relations Review, 2012, 23, (2), 69-82
30. WAGERING PREFERENCES OF NFL BETTORS: DETERMINANTS OF BETTING VOLUME
    Journal of Prediction Markets, 2012, 6, (1), 42-55 View citations (3)

2011

31. An Analysis of the Last Hour of Betting in the NFL
    International Journal of Sport Finance, 2011, 6, (4), 307-316
32. Determinants of Attendance in the Quebec Major Junior Hockey League: Role of Winning, Scoring, and Fighting
    Atlantic Economic Journal, 2011, 39, (3), 303-311 View citations (3)
33. Investigating Allegations of Pointshaving in NCAA Basketball Using Actual Sportsbook Betting Percentages
    Journal of Sports Economics, 2011, 12, (4), 432-447 View citations (12)
34. Minor League Baseball Attendance in the Pacific Northwest: A Study of the Effects of Winning, Scoring, Demographics and Promotions in the Northwest and Pioneer Baseball Leagues
    Ekonomika a Management, 2011, 2011, (2)
35. NFL bettor biases and price setting: further tests of the Levitt hypothesis of sportsbook behaviour
    Applied Economics Letters, 2011, 18, (2), 193-197 View citations (20)
36. Regional Differences in Fan Preferences for Minor League Hockey: The AHL
    New York Economic Review, 2011, 42, (1), 63-73
37. Revisting the "Hot Hand" Hypothesis in the NBA Betting Market Using Actual Sportsbook Betting Percentages on Favorites and Underdogs
    Journal of Gambling Business and Economics, 2011, 5, (2), 42-56 View citations (8)
38. The Role of Uncertainty of Outcome and Scoring in the Determination of Fan Satisfaction in the NFL
    Journal of Sports Economics, 2011, 12, (2), 213-221 View citations (6)

2010

39. The Determinants of Betting Volume for Sports in North America: Evidence of Sports Betting as Consumption in the NBA and NHL
    International Journal of Sport Finance, 2010, 5, (2), 128-140
40. Totals Markets as Evidence Against Widespread Point Shaving
    Journal of Prediction Markets, 2010, 4, (2), 15-22 View citations (4)
41. Transfer payment distribution and increases in gambling activity
    Applied Economics Letters, 2010, 17, (2), 165-167
42. Using Actual Betting Percentages to Analyze Sportsbook Behavior: The Canadian and Arena Football Leagues
    New York Economic Review, 2010, 41, (1), 35-44

2009

43. Are Behavioral Biases Consistent Across the Atlantic?: The Over/Under Market for European Soccer
    Journal of Gambling Business and Economics, 2009, 3, (2), 89-101 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Are Behavioral Biases Consistent Across the Atlantic? The Over-Under Market for European Soccer, IASE Conference Papers (2008) (2008)
44. Market frictions and overpriced favourites: evidence from arena football
    Applied Economics Letters, 2009, 16, (9), 903-906 View citations (2)
45. National television coverage and the behavioural bias of bettors: the American college football totals market
    International Gambling Studies, 2009, 9, (1), 55-66 View citations (2)
46. Sportsbook Behavior in the NCAA Football Betting Market: Tests of the Traditional and Levitt Models of Sportsbook Behavior
    Journal of Prediction Markets, 2009, 3, (2), 21-37 View citations (18)
47. Using Betting Market Odds to Measure the Uncertainty of Outcome in Major League Baseball
    International Journal of Sport Finance, 2009, 4, (4), 255-263

2008

48. Income Effects on the Trade Balance in the United States: Analysis by Sector
    Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 2008, 40, (3), 967-982
    Also in Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 2008, 40, (3), 16 (2008)
49. Line Movements and Market Timing in the Baseball Gambling Market
    Journal of Sports Economics, 2008, 9, (4), 371-386 View citations (1)
50. Price Setting in the NBA Gambling Market: Tests of the Levitt Model of Sportsbook Behavior
    International Journal of Sport Finance, 2008, 3, (3), 137-145
51. Running the Numbers on Lotteries and the Poor: An Empirical Analysis of Transfer Payment Distribution and Subsequent Lottery Sales
    Atlantic Economic Journal, 2008, 36, (3), 333-344 View citations (3)
52. The Link Between Information and the Favorite-longshot Bias in Pari-mutuel Wagering Markets
    Journal of Gambling Business and Economics, 2008, 2, (1), 30-44 View citations (2)
53. The role of productivity growth and farmers' income protection policies in the decline of relative farm prices in the United States
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2008, 30, (5), 873-885 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper The Role of Productivity Growth and Farmers' Income Protection Policies in the Decline of Relative Farm Prices in the United States, Agribusiness & Applied Economics Report (2007) View citations (1) (2007)

2007

54. Attendance in the NY-Penn Baseball League: Effects of Performance, Demographics, and Promotions
    New York Economic Review, 2007, 38, (1), 72-81
55. Does Sportsbook.com Set Pointspreads to Maximize Profits? Tests of the Levitt Model of Sportsbook Behavior
    Journal of Prediction Markets, 2007, 1, (3), 209-218 View citations (31)
56. Expectations and Voting in the NCAA Football Polls
    Journal of Sports Economics, 2007, 8, (4), 412-424 View citations (11)
57. The uncertainty of outcome and scoring effects on Nielsen ratings for Monday Night Football
    Journal of Economics and Business, 2007, 59, (3), 199-211 View citations (55)

2005

58. Bettor Misperceptions in the NBA
    Journal of Sports Economics, 2005, 6, (4), 390-400 View citations (43)
59. Bettor preferences and market efficiency in football totals markets
    Journal of Economics and Finance, 2005, 29, (3), 409-415 View citations (10)
60. Introduction to sports symposium
    Journal of Economics and Finance, 2005, 29, (3), 382-384
61. Market efficiency and NCAA college basketball gambling
    Journal of Economics and Finance, 2005, 29, (3), 403-408 View citations (9)

2004

62. A time-series approach to the determination of savings rates
    International Economic Journal, 2004, 18, (2), 147-159
63. Efficient markets, fair bets, and profitability in NBA totals 1995-96 to 2001-02
    The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2004, 44, (4), 624-632 View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper Efficient Markets, Fair Bets, and Profitability in NBA Totals 1995-96 to 2001-02, Working Papers (2002) (2002)
64. The Yankees Effect: The Impact of Interleague Play And The Unbalanced Schedule On Major League Baseball Attendance
    New York Economic Review, 2004, 35, (1), 3-15
65. “Testing Market Efficiency in the Major League Baseball Over-Under Betting Marketâ€
    Journal of Sports Economics, 2004, 5, (1), 93-95 View citations (1)

2003

66. Agricultural trade in North America: Trade creation, regionalism and regionalisation
    Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2003, 47, (3), 18 View citations (3)
    Also in Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2003, 47, (3), 349-366 (2003) View citations (7)
67. Fair bets and profitability in college football gambling
    Journal of Economics and Finance, 2003, 27, (2), 236-242 View citations (24)
68. Variations in NHL Attendance: The Impact of Violence, Scoring, and Regional Rivalries
    American Journal of Economics and Sociology, 2003, 62, (2), 345-364 View citations (31)

2002

69. Market Efficiency and a Profitable Betting Rule
    Journal of Sports Economics, 2002, 3, (3), 256-263 View citations (17)

2001

70. Market integration in US gasoline markets
    Applied Economics, 2001, 33, (10), 1335-1340 View citations (19)
71. Product Aggregation, Market Integration, and Relationships between Prices: An Application to World Salmon Markets: Comment
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2001, 83, (4), 1087-1089 View citations (4)

2000

72. Income effects on the trade balance in small open economies
    Applied Economics, 2000, 32, (3), 327-333 View citations (7)

Chapters

2021

1. Fan response to the analytics revolution in hockey: possession metrics and NHL attendance
   Chapter 8 in A Modern Guide to Sports Economics, 2021, pp 108-125

2017

2. An Exploration of Dynamic Pricing in the National Hockey League
   Springer
3. “Hot arms†and the “hot handâ€: bettor and sportsbook reaction to team and pitcher streaks in Major League Baseball
   Chapter 8 in The Economics of Sports Betting, 2017, pp 118-138

2012

4. Competitive balance in the NFL?
   A chapter in Zur Ökonomik von Spitzenleistungen im internationalen Sport, 2012, pp 73-84
5. Gambling and the NFL
   Springer