Bettor Habits When Point Spreads and Money lines are Offered on the Same Game: The NFL

Rodney Paul, Andrew Weinbach and Mark Wilson

Journal of Prediction Markets, 2014, vol. 8, issue 3, 57-74

Abstract: Bettor preferences and returns are examined in the NFL wagering market where both point spread and money line wagers are simultaneously offered. In both markets, the balanced book hypothesis can be soundly rejected, with bettors preferring favorites. Despite the clear difference in how a winning bet on the favorite is achieved in each market, the percentage bet on the favorite in both the point spread and money line markets correspond nearly one-to-one. Biases are most pronounced in certain subsets of the data, where betting against favorites on both the point spread and money line are shown to reject market efficiency.

Keywords: Prediction Markets; Literature Review; Streams of Research; Article Classification; Information Markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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