Click‘n’Roll: No Evidence of Illusion of Control

Antonio Filippin and Paolo Crosetto

De Economist, 2016, vol. 164, issue 3, No 3, 295 pages

Abstract: Abstract Evidence of illusion of control—the fact that people believe to have control over pure chance events—is a recurrent finding in experimental psychology. Results in economics find instead little to no support. In this paper we test whether this dissonant result across disciplines is due to the fact that economists have implemented only one form of illusory control. We identify and separately tests in an incentive-compatible design two types of control: (a) over the resolution of uncertainty, as usually done in the economics literature, and (b) over the choice of the lottery, as sometimes done in the psychology literature but without monetary payoffs. Results show no evidence of illusion of control, neither on choices nor on beliefs about the likelihood of winning.

Keywords: Illusion of control; Experiment; Risk elicitation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: B49 C91 D81 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Working Paper: Click'n'Roll: No evidence of illusion of control (2015)
Working Paper: Click'n'Roll: No Evidence of Illusion of Control (2015)
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DOI: 10.1007/s10645-016-9282-3

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