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Chernobyl effects on domestic and inbound tourism in Sweden — A time series analysis

Lars Hultkrantz and Christina Olsson

Environmental & Resource Economics, 1997, vol. 9, issue 2, 239-258

Abstract: This paper estimates the impact of the Chernobyl nuclear accident on domestic and international tourism in Sweden. From ARIMA time series forecasts, outlier search, and intervention analysis based on regional monthly accommodation data from 1978–1989, no effect on domestic tourism is found. However, there is an enduring deterrence effect on incoming tourism. The loss of gross revenue from incoming tourism because of the Chernobyl accident, is estimated to 2.5 billion SEK. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1997

Keywords: tourism; Chernobyl; intervention analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1997
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DOI: 10.1007/BF02441380

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