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The impact of award uncertainty on settlement negotiations

Eric Cardella () and Carl Kitchens
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Eric Cardella: Texas Tech University

Experimental Economics, 2017, vol. 20, issue 2, No 3, 333-367

Abstract: Abstract Legal disputes are often negotiated under the backdrop of an adjudicated award. While settlements are common, they are not universal. In this paper, we empirically explore how uncertainty in adjudicated awards impacts settlement negotiations. To do so, we develop an experimental design to test how increases in variance and positive skewness of the award distribution impact negotiations and settlement rates. We find increases in variance decrease settlement rates, while increases in skewness generally increases settlement rates. We also gather individual measures of risk aversion and prudence, and incorporate these measures into the analysis to test for heterogeneous treatment effects. Overall, our results suggest that highly variable adjudicated awards can contribute to the excess use of inefficient litigation, while more positively skewed awards can reduce the use of inefficient litigation.

Keywords: Prudence; Settlement negotiations; Bargaining; Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C70 C91 K10 K40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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DOI: 10.1007/s10683-016-9486-z

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