Evaluating Real Estate Valuation Systems

Robert Shiller and Allan N Weiss

The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 1999, vol. 18, issue 2, 147-61

Abstract: A framework for comparing real estate valuation systems (including automated valuation models (AVMs) and current appraisal methods) is proposed. The density estimation and profit simulation (DEPS) method measures quality of a valuation system by simulating benefits to the mortgage lender who uses this method in mortgage underwriting to limit mortgage portfolio losses due to default. Related simple measures relevant to the selection of a valuation system are also discussed: skewness of the distribution of errors, correlation of valuation errors with current selling price errors, correlation of errors of the valuation system with errors of valuation systems used by competing mortgage lenders, and other measures. Copyright 1999 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

Date: 1999
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