Dynamic Decision-Making under Uncertainty: An Experimental Investigation of Choices between Accumulator Gambles

Robin Cubitt and Robert Sugden

Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2001, vol. 22, issue 2, 103-28

Abstract: This paper presents an experiment that is designed to be more effective than previous studies at reproducing in the laboratory the affective experiences of risk-taking, such as hope, fear, thrill, pain of loss, regret, disappointment or elation. The use of dynamic choice problems involving accumulator gambles, and a particular randomisation device to resolve them, are central to the design. Our results both are inconsistent with orthodox dynamic choice theory and cast doubt on the generality of effects observed in previous designs. We discuss these findings, in terms of the relative impacts on behaviour of affective experience and judgment. Copyright 2001 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

Date: 2001
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