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The Impact of EMU on Inflation Expectations

Friedrich Heinemann and Katrin Ullrich ()

Open Economies Review, 2006, vol. 17, issue 2, 175-195

Abstract: This paper analyses the impact of the monetary regime change from the Bundesbank to the ECB on inflation expectations. In the theoretical part, the Barro-Gordon model is used to derive the potential effect of a new central bank on inflation and inflation expectations. The econometric investigation is based on a flexible specification of expectation formation which allows both for rational and adaptive elements. The results indicate that the monetary regime change did not have a strong and lasting impact on the formation of inflation expectations and that the credibility of both central banks is not perceived to differ significantly anymore. Copyright Springer Science + Business Media, LLC 2006

Keywords: inflation expectations; credibility; ZEW financial market survey; ECB; EMU; Carlson-Parkin (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (23)

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DOI: 10.1007/s11079-006-6809-2

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