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Inflation Dynamics of Franc-Zone Countries Determinants, Co-movements and Spatial Interactions

Eric Girardin () and Cheikh A. T. Sall ()
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Cheikh A. T. Sall: BCEAO

Open Economies Review, 2018, vol. 29, issue 2, No 6, 295-320

Abstract: Abstract This paper shows the uneven role played in the inflation dynamics of African franc zone countries by their integration in a regional monetary union. We obtain three main results sharply contrasting the central- (CEMAC) and west-African (WAEMU) regions. First, differences in the structure of economies and national fiscal stances play a similar role in both unions and appear as potential sources of inflation differentials. Second, even though co-movements are the principal drivers of inflation dynamics in both subregions, global factors dominate regional ones in WAEMU while both play an equal role in CEMAC. Thirdly, spatial interactions are unimportant in CEMAC due to little intra-zone trade, but take an asymmetric form in WAEMU due to the large size of Ivory Coast and Senegal.

Keywords: Inflation; Common factor models; Spatial dependence; Franc-zone; C21; E31; E32; E52; F42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Working Paper: Inflation Dynamics of Franc-Zone Countries Determinants, Co-movements and Spatial Interactions (2018)
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DOI: 10.1007/s11079-017-9456-x

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