Examining Structural Unemployment in Sub-Saharan Africa: Empirical Evidence from Unobserved Components
Ashwin Madhou () and
Tayushma Sewak ()
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Ashwin Madhou: Central Bank of Mauritius
Open Economies Review, 2019, vol. 30, issue 5, No 4, 895-904
Abstract:
Abstract We apply multivariate filtering techniques to quantify structural unemployment (NAIRU), potential output, output gap and unemployment gap for South Africa, Kenya, Mauritius and Ghana. NAIRU estimates are especially relevant for these inflation-targeting or hybrid inflation-targeting economies, allowing them to assess level of domestic slack and any potential build-up of inflationary pressures. Our findings suggest that increased government spending on education, a competitive exchange rate, and boosting the level of financial development (measured as the market capitalization of listed companies) can play a role in lowering NAIRU in these Sub-Saharan African countries.
Keywords: NAIRU; Potential output; Unemployment gap; Kalman filter; Developing countries (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C54 E24 E27 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)
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DOI: 10.1007/s11079-019-09553-7
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