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Testing for Consumer Risk-Pooling in the Open Economy – further Results

Patrick Minford (), Zhirong Ou () and Zheyi Zhu ()
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Patrick Minford: Cardiff University
Zhirong Ou: Cardiff University
Zheyi Zhu: Cardiff Metropolitan University

Open Economies Review, 2025, vol. 36, issue 3, No 7, 920 pages

Abstract: Abstract In this supplement to Minford et al. Int J Financ Econ 26(2):19932021 (2021), we revisit the ‘puzzle’ in open economy studies that evidence of international risk-sharing is hardly seen despite active cross-country financial markets. We reassess both risk-pooling via state-contingent bonds, and uncovered interest parity – both were believed to be different, and spuriously rejected, in previous work – in the context of a full DSGE model of the New Keynesian type. We prove that the two models are identical, both analytically and numerically. When tested as part of such a full DSGE model by indirect inference which circumvents the bias of single-equation tests, we find universal evidence of international risk-sharing.

Keywords: Consumer risk-pooling; UIP; Two-country DSGE model; Indirect inference test (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C12 E12 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1007/s11079-024-09782-5

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