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What can be Expected from Mergers After Deregulation? The Case of the Long-Distance Bus Industry in France

Thierry Blayac and Patrice Bougette

Review of Industrial Organization, 2023, vol. 62, issue 1, No 5, 63-97

Abstract: Abstract This study estimates the competitive effects of horizontal mergers in the French long-distance bus industry. We examine the two mergers that followed the 2015 Deregulation Act (the Macron Law); we use an exclusive and exhaustive dataset that covers eight consecutive quarters. We analyze the merger effects by comparing bus links that were affected by mergers with those that were unaffected; we use difference-in-differences estimations. We find that the two mergers are associated with price increases of about 13.5% immediately that then moderate to 5.3%; and with the frequency decreases from − 21.5 to − 25.7%; we observe no effects on load factors. These findings show evidence of short-run anticompetitive effects, while the mergers under study were not scrutinized by the French competition agency, as they were below the notification thresholds.

Keywords: Long-distance bus industry; Mergers and acquisitions; Deregulated industry; Consolidation; Intramodal competition; Difference-in-differences estimation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: K23 L11 L41 L43 L92 R40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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DOI: 10.1007/s11151-022-09878-7

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