Prediction of open market share repurchases and portfolio returns: evidence from France, Germany and the UK

Dimitris Andriosopoulos, Chrysovalantis Gaganis () and Fotios Pasiouras

Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 2016, vol. 46, issue 2, 387-416

Abstract: This study uses logistic regression for the development of prediction models that distinguish between share-repurchasing and non-share repurchasing firms. The estimated models form the basis for an investment strategy, according to which one invests on the stock of the firms that are predicted as repurchasing ones. Using a sample of firms from the UK, France, and Germany, the results show that this strategy generates positive and statistically significant abnormal returns over different investment periods that range between 1 and 18 months. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2016

Keywords: Abnormal returns; Portfolio; Prediction; Share repurchase; G11; G17; G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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DOI: 10.1007/s11156-014-0473-1

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