The predictive role of counterfactuals

Alfredo Di Tillio (), Itzhak Gilboa and Larry Samuelson ()

Theory and Decision, 2013, vol. 74, issue 2, 167-182

Abstract: We suggest a model that describes how counterfactuals are constructed and justified. The model can describe how counterfactual beliefs are updated given the unfolding of actual history. It also allows us to examine the use of counterfactuals in prediction, and to show that a logically omniscient reasoner gains nothing from using counterfactuals for prediction. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC. 2013

Keywords: Induction; Counterfactuals; Prediction (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Related works:
Working Paper: The predictive role of counterfactuals (2012)
Working Paper: The Predictive Role of Counterfactuals (2011)
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DOI: 10.1007/s11238-011-9263-6

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