Regulation Change and Volatility Spillovers: Evidence from China's Stock Markets
Zhian Chen,
Hai Jiang,
Donghui Li and
Ah Boon Sim
Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2010, vol. 46, issue 6, 140-157
Abstract:
This paper investigates the structural changes of volatility spillovers between Chinese A-share and B-share markets induced by a regulation change on February 19, 2001, that allowed Chinese domestic investors to trade in the B-share market. The empirical results of the study, using high-frequency intraday data collected from a sample of seventy-eight firms issuing both A-shares and B-shares and employing a bivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, show that after the regulation change, the volatility in A-shares increases the volatility in B-shares, thus increasing the risk of the whole market, whereas the latter reduces the former, thus reducing the risk of the whole market. A further investigation of the determinants influencing these structural changes shows that the following factors can encourage structural changes that reduce overall market risk: government ownership, institutional ownership, firm size, B-share proportion, and market-to-book ratio. Conversely, the following factors can encourage structural changes that increase overall market risk: dual roles of chief executive officer and chairman and the joint effect of firm size and B-share proportion.
Keywords: bivariate GARCH; Chinese stock market; information transmission; volatility spillover (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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