The Asymmetry and Volatility of the Chinese Stock Market Caused by the “New National Ten”

Jui-Jung Tsai, Yang-Chao Wang and Kehuang Weng

Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2015, vol. 51, issue S1, S86-S98

Abstract: To curb the excessively rapid rise in housing prices in China, the State Council of China promulgated the New National Ten, which restrains speculative investment behavior and has a linkage effect on the stock market. In this study, we use a series of GARCH models to analyze the effect of the New National Ten on the volatility and asymmetry of the Shanghai Composite Index. Specifically, we investigate how changes in investors’ expectations due to regulations affect the stock market. The result clearly illustrates that this policy is effective in stabilizing the stock market. Investors expect a bullish future stock market and only care about the continuing execution of the policy. Finally, policy implications of our findings are discussed.

Date: 2015
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DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2014.998918

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