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Prolonged Reserves Accumulation, Credit Booms, Asset Prices and Monetary Policy in Asia

Andrew Filardo () and Pierre Siklos

Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2016, vol. 52, issue 2, 364-381

Abstract: This article examines past evidence of prolonged periods of foreign exchange reserves accumulation in the Asia-Pacific region. Several proxies for this unobserved variable are considered, including a newly proposed one based on a factor model. We focus on identifying periods of prolonged interventions and identify its key macro-financial determinants. Two broad conclusions emerge from the stylized facts and the econometric evidence. First, the best protection against costly reserves accumulation is a more flexible exchange rate. Second, the necessity to accumulate reserves as a bulwark against goods price inflation is misplaced. Instead, there is a strong link between asset price movements and the likelihood of accumulating foreign exchange reserves that are costly. Policy implications are also drawn.

Date: 2016
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Related works:
Working Paper: Prolonged reserves accumulation, credit booms, asset prices and monetary policy in Asia (2015) Downloads
Working Paper: Prolonged Reserves Accumulation, Credit Booms, Asset Prices and Monetary Policy in Asia (2015) Downloads
Working Paper: Prolonged reserves accumulation, credit booms, asset prices and monetary policy in Asia (2013) Downloads
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DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2014.998562

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