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Population Structure and Housing Prices: Evidence from Chinese Provincial Panel Data

Changkyu Choi, Hojin Jung and Li Su

Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2019, vol. 55, issue 1, 29-38

Abstract: This study analyzes the relationship between the proportion of the economically active population aged 15–64 to total population and housing prices. A panel of 31 provinces in China from 2002 to 2014 is used in our analysis. We find empirical evidence that the impact of the population structure on housing-price growth increases as the population growth rates rise. This observation suggests that, to understand provincial housing price movements in China, one should consider the ratio of working-age population to total population in a province. The main policy implication is that Chinese policymakers need to ensure a moderated population growth to effectively promote stability in housing prices and the economy.

Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2018.1496417

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