Predictability of Extreme Returns in the Turkish Stock Market

Syed Riaz Mahmood Ali, Shaker Ahmed, Mohammad Nurul Hasan and Ralf Östermark

Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2021, vol. 57, issue 2, 482-494

Abstract: In this paper, we show that extreme returns can predict future returns in the Turkish stock market. We find that extreme return (high MAX) generating stocks show a lower performance in the next month in this market. More explicitly, there is a strong negative relationship between the firm’s maximum (MAX) daily returns over the previous month and its succeeding stock returns. Our results are robust in both firm-level cross-sectional, and portfolio-level analysis.

Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:57:y:2021:i:2:p:482-494

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DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2019.1591949

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