The Impact of Chinese Exports on Brazilian and Mexican Exports: A Model Using Dynamic Panel Data

Luciane Franke, Marcos Tadeu Caputi Lélis, Alexsandro Marian Carvalho and José Roberto Iglesias

Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2021, vol. 57, issue 4, 1124-1140

Abstract: Since 2000, China has established its leading role in the world economy, while Latin American countries do not seem to have strengthened their role as exporters of industrialized products. Chinese economic growth poses a challenge for Latin American countries, particularly because of the exports of industrialized products. We explore the impact of China‘s exports performance in products with technological content from Brazil and Mexico, in the period 2001–2016. Our empirical study uses a two-stage dynamic panel data model, and our results indicate that Chinese exports displace exports from Brazil and Mexico only when China first begins to trade with the partner markets of Latin American countries. In addition, the results indicate that Brazil and Mexico will face a possible loss of market share with their trading partners.

Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:57:y:2021:i:4:p:1124-1140

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DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2019.1609446

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