Implicit Government Guarantee and Corporate Investment: Evidence from China’s Belt and Road Initiative

Xiaoqian Zhang and Zhiwei Wang

Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2023, vol. 59, issue 2, 528-541

Abstract: Implicit government guarantee results in financing convenience and distorting corporate investment. The effects on MCB’s credit spread and corporate investment are studied in this paper based on China’s bond market from 2010 to 2020. The implicit government guarantee lies in MCBs whose financing costs are significantly lower than those of POEs. The inefficiency of corporate investment also exists in MCBs with investment reductions. But this inefficiency has been corrected by China’s recent major national strategy, the Belt and Road Initiative. We provide direct evidence from three perspectives, provinces along BRI routes, city-level features of China-Europe Railway Express and bond-level funding purposes. This paper reveals that implicit government guarantee could only reduce the funding cost, while major national strategy is helpful to promote corporate investment.

Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2022.2097065

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