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Is risk management a science?

Paul Davidson

Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 2012, vol. 35, issue 2, 301-312

Abstract: Risk management computer models developed by the "quants" of Wall Street and used by investment bankers did not predict the financial derivative crisis that almost sunk the global financial community in 2007. This article explains why these complex models were wrong and why models like Taleb's black swan approach are all based on nonapplicable axioms. It then explains how Soros's concept of reflexivity is similar to Keynes's liquidity theory of financial markets—an analytical framework that explains what caused the financial crash of 2007-8.

Date: 2012
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mes:postke:v:35:y:2012:i:2:p:301-312

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DOI: 10.2753/PKE0160-3477350207

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