Metodologie di ricostruzione di serie storiche di contabilità nazionale: alcune riflessioni preliminari

Ornello Vitali and Alessandro Polli

Rivista di storia economica, 2003, issue 2, 181-194

Abstract: A somewhat puzzling result confirmed by many studies on Italian economic growth is the apparent staticity showed by the economic system in the first 30-years post-unitarian period, if compared with the dynamics of other European countries. Not surprisingly, the agreement between inter-pretations on Italian first stage of growth has been affected by availability and robustness of economic time series that, for the post-unitarian period, were built by means of missing data reconstruction and linear back-casting techniques. After recognizing that 'statistical artificiality' embedded in the previous estimates could lead to partially biased historical interpretations, we stress the role of both non-linear statistical methodologies and price-quantity two-level analysis approach.

Date: 2003
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