Expert judgement and uncertainty quantification for climate change

Michael Oppenheimer (), Christopher M. Little and Roger Cooke
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Michael Oppenheimer: Princeton University
Christopher M. Little: Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc.

Nature Climate Change, 2016, vol. 6, issue 5, 445-451

Abstract: Expert judgement is often used to assess uncertainties in model-based climate change projections. This Perspective describes a statistical approach to formalizing the role of expert judgement, using Antarctic ice loss as an illustrative example.

Date: 2016
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2959

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