EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Details about Roger M. Cooke

Access statistics for papers by Roger M. Cooke.

Last updated 2023-07-08. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pco491


Jump to Journal Articles Chapters

Working Papers

2021

  1. The Social Cost of Carbon: Advances in Long-Term Probabilistic Projections of Population, GDP, Emissions, and Discount Rates
    RFF Working Paper Series, Resources for the Future Downloads View citations (3)

2019

  1. Market-Based Methods for Monetizing Uncertainty Reduction: A Case Study
    RFF Working Paper Series, Resources for the Future Downloads

2017

  1. Effects of Increases in IQ in India on the Present Value of Lifetime Earnings: A Structured Expert Judgment Study
    RFF Working Paper Series, Resources for the Future Downloads

2016

  1. Full title How Does Breastfeeding Affect IQ? Applying the Classical Model of Structured Expert Judgment
    RFF Working Paper Series, Resources for the Future Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Real Option Value for New Measurements of Cloud Radiative Forcing
    RFF Working Paper Series, Resources for the Future Downloads View citations (1)

2014

  1. Deep and Shallow Uncertainty in Messaging Climate Change
    RFF Working Paper Series, Resources for the Future Downloads View citations (2)

2011

  1. A shapley value approach to pricing climate risks
    Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) Downloads
  2. Heavy-Tailed Distributions: Data, Diagnostics, and New Developments
    RFF Working Paper Series, Resources for the Future Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Precursor Analysis for Offshore Oil and Gas Drilling: From Prescriptive to Risk-Informed Regulation
    RFF Working Paper Series, Resources for the Future Downloads View citations (2)
  4. Risk premia and the social cost of carbon: A review
    Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Risk premia and the social cost of carbon: A review, Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) (2011) Downloads View citations (7) (2011)

2010

  1. Climate Change Uncertainty Quantification: Lessons Learned from the Joint EU-USNRC Project on Uncertainty Analysis of Probabilistic Accident Consequence Codes
    RFF Working Paper Series, Resources for the Future Downloads View citations (2)

2009

  1. Climate Change and Risk Management: Challenges for Insurance, Adaptation, and Loss Estimation
    RFF Working Paper Series, Resources for the Future Downloads View citations (11)
  2. The Unholy Trinity: Fat Tails, Tail Dependence, and Micro-Correlations
    RFF Working Paper Series, Resources for the Future Downloads View citations (18)

Journal Articles

2023

  1. Averaging quantiles, variance shrinkage, and overconfidence
    Futures & Foresight Science, 2023, 5, (1) Downloads

2022

  1. Comprehensive evidence implies a higher social cost of CO2
    Nature, 2022, 610, (7933), 687-692 Downloads View citations (76)

2021

  1. Expert forecasting with and without uncertainty quantification and weighting: What do the data say?
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2021, 37, (1), 378-387 Downloads View citations (8)

2020

  1. Market-based methods for monetizing uncertainty reduction
    Environment Systems and Decisions, 2020, 40, (1), 3-13 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Vine copula regression for observational studies
    AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, 2020, 104, (2), 141-167 Downloads View citations (2)

2019

  1. Quantifying uncertainty about future antimicrobial resistance: Comparing structured expert judgment and statistical forecasting methods
    PLOS ONE, 2019, 14, (7), 1-18 Downloads View citations (1)

2018

  1. Bayesian networks for identifying incorrect probabilistic intuitions in a climate trend uncertainty quantification context
    Journal of Risk Research, 2018, 21, (9), 1146-1161 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Expert Elicitation: Using the Classical Model to Validate Experts’ Judgments
    Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 2018, 12, (1), 113-132 Downloads View citations (17)
  3. Probabilistic reasoning about measurements of equilibrium climate sensitivity: combining disparate lines of evidence
    Climatic Change, 2018, 151, (3), 541-554 Downloads View citations (2)

2017

  1. Cross validation for the classical model of structured expert judgment
    Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2017, 163, (C), 109-120 Downloads View citations (19)
  2. Expert judgement for dependence in probabilistic modelling: A systematic literature review and future research directions
    European Journal of Operational Research, 2017, 258, (3), 801-819 Downloads View citations (16)
  3. Using the social cost of carbon to value earth observing systems
    Climate Policy, 2017, 17, (3), 330-345 Downloads View citations (1)

2016

  1. Evaluation of a Performance-Based Expert Elicitation: WHO Global Attribution of Foodborne Diseases
    PLOS ONE, 2016, 11, (3), 1-14 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Expert judgement and uncertainty quantification for climate change
    Nature Climate Change, 2016, 6, (5), 445-451 Downloads View citations (26)
  3. Global correlation and uncertainty accounting
    Dependence Modeling, 2016, 4, (1), 6 Downloads

2015

  1. Messaging climate change uncertainty
    Nature Climate Change, 2015, 5, (1), 8-10 Downloads View citations (15)
  2. Sampling, conditionalizing, counting, merging, searching regular vines
    Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 2015, 138, (C), 4-18 Downloads View citations (10)
  3. The Aggregation of Expert Judgment: Do Good Things Come to Those Who Weight?
    Risk Analysis, 2015, 35, (1), 12-15 Downloads View citations (6)

2014

  1. Estimating expected value of information using Bayesian belief networks: a case study in fish consumption advisory
    Environment Systems and Decisions, 2014, 34, (1), 88-97 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Reaction to ‘An approach to perform expert elicitation for engineering design risk analysis: methodology and experimental results’
    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 2014, 177, (4), 981-985 Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Value of information for climate observing systems
    Environment Systems and Decisions, 2014, 34, (1), 98-109 Downloads View citations (7)

2013

  1. A conformational switch in HP1 releases auto-inhibition to drive heterochromatin assembly
    Nature, 2013, 496, (7445), 377-381 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Elicited preferences for components of ocean health in the California Current
    Marine Policy, 2013, 42, (C), 68-73 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Quantifying uncertainty on thin ice
    Nature Climate Change, 2013, 3, (4), 311-312 Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Uncertainty analysis comes to integrated assessment models for climate change…and conversely
    Climatic Change, 2013, 117, (3), 467-479 Downloads View citations (8)

2012

  1. Explaining the Failure to Insure Catastrophic Risks
    The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 2012, 37, (2), 206-227 Downloads View citations (40)
  2. Least squares type estimation for Cox regression model and specification error
    Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2012, 56, (7), 2288-2302 Downloads
  3. Managing dependencies in forest offset projects: toward a more complete evaluation of reversal risk
    Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 2012, 17, (1), 17-24 Downloads View citations (4)

2011

  1. Modeling and validating stakeholder preferences with probabilistic inversion
    Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 2011, 27, (2), 115-130 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Response to Conundrums Letter
    Risk Analysis, 2011, 31, (1), 5-6 Downloads
  3. Risk premia and the social cost of carbon: A review
    Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), 2011, 5, 1-24 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper Risk premia and the social cost of carbon: A review, Economics Discussion Papers (2011) Downloads View citations (6) (2011)

2010

  1. Conundrums with Uncertainty Factors
    Risk Analysis, 2010, 30, (3), 330-339 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Mining and visualising ordinal data with non-parametric continuous BBNs
    Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2010, 54, (3), 668-687 Downloads View citations (10)
  3. Prioritizing Emerging Zoonoses in The Netherlands
    PLOS ONE, 2010, 5, (11), 1-9 Downloads View citations (4)
  4. Probabilistic Inversion in Priority Setting of Emerging Zoonoses
    Risk Analysis, 2010, 30, (5), 715-723 Downloads View citations (2)
  5. Response to Reviewers
    Risk Analysis, 2010, 30, (3), 353-353 Downloads
  6. Updating Parameters of the Chicken Processing Line Model
    Risk Analysis, 2010, 30, (6), 934-944 Downloads View citations (1)

2009

  1. Further development of a Causal model for Air Transport Safety (CATS): Building the mathematical heart
    Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2009, 94, (9), 1433-1441 Downloads View citations (18)
  2. The chromatin remodeller ACF acts as a dimeric motor to space nucleosomes
    Nature, 2009, 462, (7276), 1016-1021 Downloads View citations (1)

2008

  1. On the performance of social network and likelihood-based expert weighting schemes
    Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2008, 93, (5), 745-756 Downloads View citations (12)
  2. Regulating Under Uncertainty: Newsboy for Exposure Limits
    Risk Analysis, 2008, 28, (3), 577-587 Downloads
  3. TU Delft expert judgment data base
    Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2008, 93, (5), 657-674 Downloads View citations (66)
  4. Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analyses of a Dynamic Economic Evaluation Model for Vaccination Programs
    Medical Decision Making, 2008, 28, (2), 182-200 Downloads View citations (10)

2007

  1. Alternative energy technologies in buildings: Stakeholder perceptions
    Renewable Energy, 2007, 32, (14), 2320-2333 Downloads View citations (13)
  2. Sampling algorithms for generating joint uniform distributions using the vine-copula method
    Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2007, 51, (6), 2889-2906 Downloads View citations (6)

2006

  1. Probabilistic inversion for chicken processing lines
    Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2006, 91, (10), 1364-1372 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Techniques for generic probabilistic inversion
    Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2006, 50, (5), 1164-1187 Downloads View citations (8)

2005

  1. A Structured Expert Judgment Study for a Model of Campylobacter Transmission During Broiler‐Chicken Processing
    Risk Analysis, 2005, 25, (1), 109-124 Downloads View citations (8)
  2. A practical model of Heineken's bottle filling line with dependent failures
    European Journal of Operational Research, 2005, 164, (2), 491-504 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Two-stage Bayesian models—application to ZEDB project
    Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2005, 90, (2), 123-130 Downloads View citations (4)

2004

  1. Conformational variations in an infectious protein determine prion strain differences
    Nature, 2004, 428, (6980), 323-328 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Ethics and Choosing Appropriate Means to an End: Problems with Coal Mine and Nuclear Workplace Safety
    Risk Analysis, 2004, 24, (1), 147-156 Downloads

2001

  1. The Risk of Groundling Fatalities from Unintentional Airplane Crashes
    Risk Analysis, 2001, 21, (6), 1025-1038 Downloads View citations (2)

1999

  1. A new generic model for applying MAUT
    European Journal of Operational Research, 1999, 118, (3), 589-604 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. A structural change in the kinesin motor protein that drives motility
    Nature, 1999, 402, (6763), 778-784 Downloads View citations (9)

1998

  1. A Probabilistic Model for the Failure Frequency of Underground Gas Pipelines
    Risk Analysis, 1998, 18, (4), 511-527 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Expert judgement and lethal toxicity of inhaled chemicals
    Journal of Risk Research, 1998, 1, (2), 117-133 Downloads View citations (5)

1995

  1. A Bayesian failure model based on isotropic deterioration
    European Journal of Operational Research, 1995, 82, (2), 270-282 Downloads View citations (17)
  2. Coherent combination of experts' opinions
    TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, 1995, 4, (2), 263-313 Downloads View citations (24)

1993

  1. The total time on test statistic and age-dependent censoring
    Statistics & Probability Letters, 1993, 18, (4), 307-312 Downloads View citations (5)

1992

  1. Expert opinion in project management
    European Journal of Operational Research, 1992, 57, (1), 24-31 Downloads View citations (1)

1990

  1. Choice of a long-term strategy for the national electricity supply via scenario analysis and multi-criteria analysis
    European Journal of Operational Research, 1990, 48, (2), 189-203 Downloads View citations (14)

1986

  1. Monte Carlo Sampling for Generalized Knowledge Dependence with Application to Human Reliability
    Risk Analysis, 1986, 6, (3), 335-343 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Problems with Empirical Bayes
    Risk Analysis, 1986, 6, (3), 269-272 Downloads View citations (2)

1984

  1. Price—Anderson Revisited
    Risk Analysis, 1984, 4, (3), 155-155 Downloads

Chapters

2021

  1. A Number of Things
    Springer
  2. Are Performance Weights Beneficial? Investigating the Random Expert Hypothesis
    Springer View citations (2)

2018

  1. Elicitation in the Classical Model
    Springer View citations (17)
  2. Validation in the Classical Model
    Springer View citations (3)

2012

  1. The Value of Information in a Risk Management Approach to Climate Change
    Springer View citations (1)

2010

  1. Micro Correlations and Tail Dependence
    Chapter 5 in Dependence Modeling Vine Copula Handbook, 2010, pp 89-112 Downloads
  2. Regular Vines: Generation Algorithm and Number of Equivalence Classes
    Chapter 10 in Dependence Modeling Vine Copula Handbook, 2010, pp 219-231 Downloads
  3. Vines Arise
    Chapter 3 in Dependence Modeling Vine Copula Handbook, 2010, pp 37-71 Downloads

2009

  1. Obtaining Distributions from Groups for Decisions Under Uncertainty
    Palgrave Macmillan
 
Page updated 2025-03-31