Regional warming and malaria resurgence

Jonathan A. Patz (), Mike Hulme, Cynthia Rosenzweig, Timothy D. Mitchell, Richard A. Goldberg, Andrew K. Githeko, Subhash Lele, Anthony J. McMichael and David Le Sueur
Additional contact information
Jonathan A. Patz: Johns Hopkins University, Bloomberg School of Public Health
Mike Hulme: Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia
Cynthia Rosenzweig: NASA, Goddard Institute for Space Studies, and Columbia University
Timothy D. Mitchell: Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia
Richard A. Goldberg: NASA, Goddard Institute for Space Studies, and Columbia University
Andrew K. Githeko: Climate and Human Health Research Unit, Centre for Vector Biology and Control Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute
Subhash Lele: University of Alberta
Anthony J. McMichael: National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Australian National University
David Le Sueur: South African Medical Research Council

Nature, 2002, vol. 420, issue 6916, 627-628

Abstract: Abstract Disease outbreaks are known to be often influenced by local weather, but how changes in disease trends might be affected by long-term global warming is more difficult to establish. In a study of malaria in the African highlands, Hay et al.1 found no significant change in long-term climate at four locations where malaria incidence has been increasing since 1976. We contend, however, that their conclusions are likely to be flawed by their inappropriate use of a global climate data set. Moreover, the absence of a historical climate signal allows no inference to be drawn about the impact of future climate change on malaria in the region.

Date: 2002
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DOI: 10.1038/420627a

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