Seasonal prediction of hurricane activity reaching the coast of the United States

Mark A. Saunders () and Adam S. Lea
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Mark A. Saunders: University College London
Adam S. Lea: University College London

Nature, 2005, vol. 434, issue 7036, 1005-1008

Abstract: Storm warning The 2004 US hurricane season was one of the worst on record. Four hurricanes struck Florida in August and September, and insurance companies faced claims of over $23 billion. Accurate seasonal prediction of hurricane landfall activity would forewarn administrators and businesses of the likelihood of either high or low damage. By using tropospheric height-averaged wind anomalies present over North America and the east Pacific and North Atlantic oceans during July, the total wind energy of US landfalling hurricanes can be predicted with some precision for the following hurricane season. On the cover (Courtesy Univ. Wisconsin-Madison, Space Science and Engineering Center) is a composite satellite image of hurricanes Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne ‘approaching’ Florida in August and September 2004.

Date: 2005
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DOI: 10.1038/nature03454

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