El Niño in a changing climate

Sang-Wook Yeh (), Jong-Seong Kug, Boris Dewitte, Min-Ho Kwon, Ben P. Kirtman and Fei-Fei Jin
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Sang-Wook Yeh: Korea Ocean Research and Development Institute, 426-744, Ansan, Korea
Jong-Seong Kug: Korea Ocean Research and Development Institute, 426-744, Ansan, Korea
Boris Dewitte: Laboratoire d’Etude en Geophysique et Oceanographie Spatiale, 14 avenue Edouard Belin, 31400, Toulouse, France
Min-Ho Kwon: School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, 1680 East-West Road, Honolulu, 96822, Hawaii, USA
Ben P. Kirtman: University of Miami, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, 4600 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, Florida, 33149, USA
Fei-Fei Jin: School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, 1680 East-West Road, Honolulu, 96822, Hawaii, USA

Nature, 2009, vol. 461, issue 7263, 511-514

Abstract: El Niño changes its tune In recent decades, a distinctly different type of El Niño has emerged. 'Normal' El Niños are climate events associated with anomalous warming in the eastern Pacific, and climatic consequences elsewhere varying from floods to drought. In the alternative version, sometimes called El Niño Modoki (modoki meaning 'similar but different' in Japanese), the warm pool is shifted westward and is flanked to the east and west by cooler water. Sang-Wook Yeh and colleagues use a suite of climate models incorporating anthropogenic changes in greenhouse gases to show that the occurrence ratio of the new type of El Niño is projected to increase by up to a factor of five by the late twenty-first century.

Date: 2009
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DOI: 10.1038/nature08316

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