Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes

Seung-Ki Min (), Xuebin Zhang, Francis W. Zwiers () and Gabriele C. Hegerl
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Seung-Ki Min: Environment Canada, Toronto, Ontario M3H5T4, Canada
Xuebin Zhang: Environment Canada, Toronto, Ontario M3H5T4, Canada
Francis W. Zwiers: Environment Canada, Toronto, Ontario M3H5T4, Canada
Gabriele C. Hegerl: School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh

Nature, 2011, vol. 470, issue 7334, 378-381

Abstract: Human input to extreme rainfall A significant effect of anthropogenic activities has already been detected in observed trends in temperature and mean precipitation. But to date, no study has formally identified such a human fingerprint on extreme precipitation — an increase in which is one of the central theoretical expectations for a warming climate. Seung-Ki Min and colleagues compare observations and simulations of rainfall between 1951 and 1999 in North America, Europe and northern Asia. They find a statistically significant effect of increased greenhouse gases on observed increases in extreme precipitation events over much of the Northern Hemisphere land area.

Date: 2011
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DOI: 10.1038/nature09763

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