Consequences of climate change on the tree of life in Europe

Wilfried Thuiller (), Sébastien Lavergne, Cristina Roquet, Isabelle Boulangeat, Bruno Lafourcade and Miguel. B. Araujo
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Wilfried Thuiller: Laboratoire d’Ecologie Alpine, UMR CNRS 5553, Université Joseph Fourier, BP 53, FR-38041 Grenoble Cedex 9, France
Sébastien Lavergne: Laboratoire d’Ecologie Alpine, UMR CNRS 5553, Université Joseph Fourier, BP 53, FR-38041 Grenoble Cedex 9, France
Cristina Roquet: Laboratoire d’Ecologie Alpine, UMR CNRS 5553, Université Joseph Fourier, BP 53, FR-38041 Grenoble Cedex 9, France
Isabelle Boulangeat: Laboratoire d’Ecologie Alpine, UMR CNRS 5553, Université Joseph Fourier, BP 53, FR-38041 Grenoble Cedex 9, France
Bruno Lafourcade: Laboratoire d’Ecologie Alpine, UMR CNRS 5553, Université Joseph Fourier, BP 53, FR-38041 Grenoble Cedex 9, France
Miguel. B. Araujo: National Museum of Natural Sciences, CSIC, Calle Gutierrez Abascal, 2, 28006, Madrid, Spain

Nature, 2011, vol. 470, issue 7335, 531-534

Abstract: European movements Extinction episodes, such as the anthropogenic one widely thought to be under way right now, result in a pruned tree of life. The possibility that further non-random extinctions across the tree of life could arise as a consequence of climate change has been investigated quantitatively using a series of projections of the phylogenetic diversity of European plants, birds and mammals. The overall effect is a thinning of the tree, with little loss of diversity. However, there are differences in the responses of northern and southern European species. For instance, France and Spain are more exposed to losses of phylogenetic diversity than high-latitude and high-altitude regions, where phylogenetic diversity is projected to increase.

Date: 2011
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DOI: 10.1038/nature09705

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