Warming experiments underpredict plant phenological responses to climate change

E. M. Wolkovich (), B. I. Cook, J. M. Allen, T. M. Crimmins, J. L. Betancourt, S. E. Travers, S. Pau, J. Regetz, T. J. Davies, N. J. B. Kraft, T. R. Ault, K. Bolmgren, S. J. Mazer, G. J. McCabe, B. J. McGill, C. Parmesan, N. Salamin, M. D. Schwartz and E. E. Cleland
Additional contact information
E. M. Wolkovich: University of California San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive 0116, La Jolla, California 92093, USA
B. I. Cook: NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
J. M. Allen: University of Connecticut
T. M. Crimmins: USA National Phenology Network, 1955 East Sixth Street
J. L. Betancourt: US Geological Survey, 1955 East Sixth Street
S. E. Travers: North Dakota State University
S. Pau: National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis, 735 State Street, Suite 300, Santa Barbara, California 93101, USA
J. Regetz: National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis, 735 State Street, Suite 300, Santa Barbara, California 93101, USA
T. J. Davies: McGill University, 1205 Avenue Docteur Penfield, Montreal, Quebec H3A 1B1, Canada
N. J. B. Kraft: Biodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, 6270 University Boulevard, Vancouver, British Columbia V6T 1Z4, Canada
T. R. Ault: National Center for Atmospheric Research, PO Box 3000
K. Bolmgren: Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Swedish National Phenology Network, Asa, Unit for Field-based Forest Research, SE-36030 Lammhult, Sweden
S. J. Mazer: Evolution and Marine Biology, University of California Santa Barbara
G. J. McCabe: US Geological Survey, Denver Federal Center, MS 412, Denver, Colorado 80225, USA
B. J. McGill: School of Biology and Ecology & Sustainability Solutions Initiative, University of Maine
C. Parmesan: Integrative Biology, University of Texas, 1 University Station C0930
N. Salamin: University of Lausanne, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland
M. D. Schwartz: Bolton 410, PO Box 413, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee
E. E. Cleland: University of California San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive 0116, La Jolla, California 92093, USA

Nature, 2012, vol. 485, issue 7399, 494-497

Abstract: Advances in plant flowering and leafing times in response to warming are underpredicted by experimental warming studies.

Date: 2012
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DOI: 10.1038/nature11014

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