Flickering gives early warning signals of a critical transition to a eutrophic lake state

Rong Wang, John A. Dearing (), Peter G. Langdon, Enlou Zhang, Xiangdong Yang, Vasilis Dakos and Marten Scheffer
Additional contact information
Rong Wang: Palaeoecological Laboratory, Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK
John A. Dearing: Palaeoecological Laboratory, Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK
Peter G. Langdon: Palaeoecological Laboratory, Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK
Enlou Zhang: State Key Laboratory of Lake Science & Environment, Nanjing Institute of Geography & Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China
Xiangdong Yang: State Key Laboratory of Lake Science & Environment, Nanjing Institute of Geography & Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China
Vasilis Dakos: Wageningen University, PO Box 47, NL-6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
Marten Scheffer: Wageningen University, PO Box 47, NL-6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands

Nature, 2012, vol. 492, issue 7429, 419-422

Abstract: Critical transitions in experimental and theoretical systems can be anticipated on the basis of specific warning signs, with ‘critical slowing down’ being the best studied; long-term data from a real system, a Chinese lake, now show that a flickering phenomenon can be observed up to 20 years before the critical transition to a eutrophic state.

Date: 2012
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (18)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.nature.com/articles/nature11655 Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nat:nature:v:492:y:2012:i:7429:d:10.1038_nature11655

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://www.nature.com/

DOI: 10.1038/nature11655

Access Statistics for this article

Nature is currently edited by Magdalena Skipper

More articles in Nature from Nature
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().