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Timescales for detection of trends in the ocean carbon sink

Galen A. McKinley (), Darren J. Pilcher, Amanda R. Fay, Keith Lindsay, Matthew C. Long and Nicole S. Lovenduski
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Galen A. McKinley: University of Wisconsin—Madison
Darren J. Pilcher: University of Wisconsin—Madison
Amanda R. Fay: University of Wisconsin—Madison
Keith Lindsay: National Center for Atmospheric Research
Matthew C. Long: National Center for Atmospheric Research
Nicole S. Lovenduski: University of Colorado Boulder

Nature, 2016, vol. 530, issue 7591, 469-472

Abstract: A climate modelling experiment is used to identify where ocean carbon uptake should change as a result of anthropogenic climate change and to distinguish these changes from internal climate variability; we may be able to detect changing uptake in some oceanic regions between 2020 and 2050, but until then, internal climate variability will preclude such detection.

Date: 2016
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DOI: 10.1038/nature16958

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