Record-low Antarctic sea ice in 2023 increased ocean heat loss and storms

Simon A. Josey (), Andrew J. S. Meijers, Adam T. Blaker, Jeremy P. Grist, Jenny Mecking and Holly C. Ayres
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Simon A. Josey: National Oceanography Centre
Andrew J. S. Meijers: British Antarctic Survey
Adam T. Blaker: National Oceanography Centre
Jeremy P. Grist: National Oceanography Centre
Jenny Mecking: National Oceanography Centre
Holly C. Ayres: National Oceanography Centre

Nature, 2024, vol. 636, issue 8043, 635-639

Abstract: Abstract Recent Antarctic sea-ice decline is a substantial source of concern, notably the record low in 2023 (ref. 1). Progress has been made towards establishing the causes of ice loss1–5 but uncertainty remains about its consequences for ocean–atmosphere interaction. Resolution of this uncertainty is important as ice decline can substantially alter surface heat loss and thus the ocean and atmosphere6. Here we show that the strongest winter 2023 ice-retraction regions provide an important new source of turbulent ocean heat loss to the atmosphere in wintertime. Ice concentration in these regions (located primarily in the Weddell, Bellingshausen and Ross seas) is reduced by up to 80% and is accompanied by an unprecedented doubling of mid-winter ocean heat loss. Also, there is a phase shift in the time of peak heat loss from late April to mid-June, with weaker than normal heat loss in austral autumn. The winter surface-heat-loss intensification is accompanied by substantial changes on both sides of the ocean–atmosphere interface. These include increases in atmospheric-storm frequency and surface-heat-loss-driven dense water formation, although the implications of the densification for broader processes such as Antarctic bottom water formation remain unclear. Our results reveal that the 2023 Antarctic sea-ice loss has substantially modified air–sea interaction in the Southern Ocean and motivate in-depth analysis of the wider climate-system impacts.

Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-08368-y

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