Is a recession imminent? The signal of the yield curve

Bruno De Backer (), M. Deroose and Ch. Van Nieuwenhuyze
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M. Deroose: National Bank of Belgium
Ch. Van Nieuwenhuyze: National Bank of Belgium

Economic Review, 2019, issue i, 69-93

Abstract: Historically, recessions have always been preceded by yield curve inversions. Is the recent flattening of the US yield curve a cause for concern?

Date: 2019
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