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Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis

2004 - 2008

Continued by OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis.

From OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys
Contact information at EDIRC.

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Volume 2007, issue 3, 2008

Macroeconomic Forecasting: Debunking a Few Old Wives' Tales pp. 287-316 Downloads
Stefano Siviero and Daniele Terlizzese
Nonparametric Forecasting of the Manufacturing Output Growth with Firm-level Survey Data pp. 317-331 Downloads
Gérard Biau, Olivier Biau and Laurent Rouvière
Dating EU15 monthly business cycle jointly using GDP and IPI pp. 333-366 Downloads
Monica Billio, Massimiliano Caporin and Guido Cazzavillan
The Cyclical and Trend Behavour of Australian Investment and Savings pp. 367-386 Downloads
Bruce Felmingham and Arusha Cooray
Internet Business Tendency Surveys pp. 387-399 Downloads
Anna Stangl

Volume 2007, issue 2, 2008

How Tight is the Labour Market?: Sources of Changes in the Aggregate Exit Rate from Unemployment across the Business Cycle pp. 155-173 Downloads
Simen Gaure and Knut Røed
Inventories and Business Cycle Volatility: An Analysis Based on ISAE Survey Data pp. 175-197 Downloads
Marco Malgarini
The Economic Sentiment Indicator: Leading Indicator - Properties in Old and New EU Member States pp. 199-215 Downloads
Maria Silgoner
An Evaluation of Japanese Leading Indicators pp. 217-233 Downloads
Hiroshi Yamada, Yuzo Honda and Yasuyoshi Tokutsu
Current Period Performance of OECD Composite Leading Indicators pp. 235-266 Downloads
Ronny Nilsson and Emmanuelle Guidetti

Volume 2007, issue 1, 2007

Consumer Sentiment Surveys: Worldwide Review and Assessment pp. 7-42 Downloads
Richard Curtin
Deviation Cycles in Manufacturing: Business Cycle Measurement and Leading Indicators pp. 43-77 Downloads
Ard Reijer
Comparing Probability Forecasts in Markov Regime Switching Business Cycle Models pp. 79-98 Downloads
Daniel Smith and Allan Layton
Improving Timeliness for Short-Term Economic Statistics pp. 99-119 Downloads
Richard McKenzie
Cyclical Fluctuations in CIS Economies pp. 121-135 Downloads
Peter Benczur, Emin Muradov and Attila Rátfai

Volume 2005, issue 3, 2006

Quantifying Inflation Expectations with the Carlson-Parkin Method: A Survey-based Determination of the Just Noticeable Difference pp. 321-352 Downloads
Steffen Henzel and Timo Wollmershäuser
Detection of the Industrial Business Cycle using SETAR Models pp. 353-371 Downloads
Laurent Ferrara and Dominique Guegan
Spatial and Temporal Time Series Conversion: A Consistent Estimator of the Error Variance-Covariance Matrix pp. 373-405 Downloads
Massimo Gerli and Giovanni Marini
Extracting a Common Cycle from Series with Different Frequency: An Application to the Italian Economy pp. 407-429 Downloads
Edoardo Otranto
Another Look at the Ifo Business Cycle Clock pp. 431-443 Downloads
Klaus Abberger

Volume 2005, issue 2, 2006

Forecast Evaluation of European Commission Survey Indicators pp. 157-183 Downloads
Christian Gayer
Inflation Targeting and Consumer Inflation Expectations in Poland: A Success Story? pp. 185-212 Downloads
Tomasz Lysiak
A Generalized Dynamic Factor Model for the Belgian Economy: Identification of the Business Cycle and GDP Growth Forecasts pp. 213-247 Downloads
Christophe van Nieuwenhuyze
Optimism, Pessimism and the Unforeseen: Modelling an Endogenous Business Cycle Driven by Strong Beliefs pp. 249-276 Downloads
Friedrich L. Sell
Forecasting Corporate Investment: An Indicator Based on Revisions in the French Investment Survey pp. 277-305 Downloads
Nicolas Ferrari

Volume 2005, issue 1, 2005

Business Cycles in the New EU Member Countries and their Conformity with the Euro Area pp. 7-41 Downloads
Michael Artis, Massimiliano Marcellino and Tommaso Proietti
Towards a Monthly Business Cycle Chronology for the Euro Area pp. 43-69 Downloads
Emanuel Mönch and Harald Uhlig
Out-of-sample Performance of Leading Indicators for the German Business Cycle: Single vs. Combined Forecasts pp. 71-87 Downloads
Christian Dreger and Christian Schumacher
Benchmarking Systems of Seasonally Adjusted Time Series pp. 89-123 Downloads
Tommaso di Fonzo and Marco Marini
New Design of the ISAE Manufacturing Survey pp. 125-142 Downloads
Marco Malgarini, Patrizia Margani and Bianca Maria Martelli

Volume 2004, issue 3, 2005

Reconsidering the Evidence: Are Euro Area Business Cycles Converging? pp. 275-307 Downloads
Michael Massmann and James Mitchell
Business Cycle Indexes: Does a Heap of Data Help? pp. 309-336 Downloads
Robert Inklaar, Jan Jacobs and Ward Romp
Real-Time Data and Business Cycle Analysis in Germany pp. 337-361 Downloads
Sarah Box
Revision of National Accounts: Swedish Expenditure Accounts and GDP pp. 363-385 Downloads
Lars-Erik Öller and Karl-Gustav Hansson
New Bank Lending Survey of the Eurosystem: Interpretation and Use of First Results for Germany pp. 387-407 Downloads
Hannah Sabine Hempell

Volume 2004, issue 2, 2004

Consumer Sentiment and Economic Activity: A Cross Country Comparison pp. 147-170 Downloads
Roberto Golinelli and Giuseppe Parigi
Real-Time Tests of the Leading Economic Index: Do Changes in the Index Composition Matter? pp. 171-191 Downloads
Robert H. McGuckin and Ataman Ozyildirim
Detecting Cyclical Turning Points: The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators pp. 193-225 Downloads
Jacques Anas and Laurent Ferrara
Markov Switching Models for GDP Growth in a Small Open Economy: The New Zealand Experience pp. 227-257 Downloads
Robert Buckle, David Haugh and Peter Thomson

Volume 2004, issue 1, 2004

Survey Expectations, Rationality and the Dynamics of Euro Area Inflation pp. 13-41 Downloads
Magnus Forsells and Geoff Kenny
Modelling Short-term Interest Rates in the Euro Area Using Business Survey Data pp. 43-69 Downloads
Renata Grzeda Latocha and Gernot Nerb
Quantification of Qualitative Survey Data and Test of Consistent Expectations: A New Likelihood Approach pp. 71-92 Downloads
Christian Dahl and Lin Xia
Detection of Turning Points in Business Cycles pp. 93-108 Downloads
Eva Andersson, David Bock and Marianne Frisén
Coincident and Leading Indicators of Manufacturing Industry pp. 109-131 Downloads
Richard Etter and Michael Graff
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