A Simulation Study of Population, Education, and Income Growth in Uganda

Phillips Foster and Larry Yost

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1969, vol. 51, issue 3, 576-591

Abstract: Increases in educational level tend to increase income. Higher community income in tum can enable more resources to be put into education. However, increases in population tend to spread scarce educational resources over more children, thereby inhibiting the rise in level of living that can come through increasing the educational investment in each individual. This paper analyzes for a developing economy how changes in birth and death rates affect population growth and educational and economic development. A simulation model of these demographic, educational, and economic processes, based on empirical data from the Buganda tribe in Uganda, is used to study the extent and timing of the responses. Both the method and the empirical results should have relevance for readers concerned with growth and development.

Date: 1969
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