Government Institutional Effects on the Value of Seasonal Climate Forecasts

James W. Mjelde, Troy N. Thompson and Clair J. Nixon

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1996, vol. 78, issue 1, 175-188

Abstract: The impact of government institutions on the value of improved climate forecasts is examined. Results suggest that crop insurance and earned income tax credit have little effect on the expected change in after-tax cash flows. Federal tax law has only a modest influence. As expected, the disaster program decreases the value of improved climate forecasts. With no price changes, the farm program lowers the value of the forecasts because of the acreage reduction provisions. With at least some price decreases, the farm program increases the value of climate forecasts. Here, the price supports override the acreage reduction provisions. Copyright 1996, Oxford University Press.

Date: 1996
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