Estimating the Prevalence and Cost of Yield-Switching Fraud in the Federal Crop Insurance Program

Joseph A. Atwood, James F. Robison-Cox and Saleem Shaik

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2006, vol. 88, issue 2, 365-381

Abstract: Producers who manipulate and switch their reported crop-yields between separately insured units can increase their insurance indemnities substantially. A statistical model that identifies potential yield switching is developed. The unrestricted statistical model is singular and is identified by imposing a mixture of system-estimable and system-nonestimable restrictions. Lower bound estimates of yield-switching fraud incidence and costs are obtained by applying the model to 207,067 multiple unit producers who purchased crop insurance in 1998. Copyright 2006, Oxford University Press.

Date: 2006
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