Strike When the Force Is with You: Optimal Stopping with Application to Resource Equilibria

Graham Davis

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2007, vol. 89, issue 2, 461-472

Abstract: Optimal investment in a nonrenewable resource project occurs when the rate of increase of the project's forward value falls to the force of interest. This stopping rule yields a financial interpretation of resource quality as being a property of the project rather than of individual units of reserves. It also leads to re-interpretations of (a) rent as the present value of the project rather than of units of reserves and (b) Hotelling's insight as, not a rule for the path of rents, but an equilibrium algorithm for price. The analysis is extended to sequential development of pesticides, antibiotics, and forests. Copyright 2007, Oxford University Press.

Date: 2007
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