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Spatial disaggregation of agricultural production data using maximum entropy

Richard Howitt and Arnaud Reynaud

European Review of Agricultural Economics, 2003, vol. 30, issue 3, 359-387

Abstract: We develop a dynamic data-consistent method to estimate agricultural land use choices at a disaggregate (district) level, using more aggregate (regional-level) data. The disaggregation procedure consists of two steps. First, we estimate a dynamic model of land use at the regional level, then we disaggregate outcomes of the aggregate model using maximum entropy (ME). The ME disaggregation procedure is applied to a sample of California data including six districts and eight crops. The disaggregation procedure results in the recovery of district-level cropping areas with an average prediction error of 16.2 per cent. Copyright 2003, Oxford University Press.

Date: 2003
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European Review of Agricultural Economics is currently edited by Timothy Richards, Salvatore Di Falco, Céline Nauges and Vincenzina Caputo

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