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Is there a term structure in land lease rates?

Silke Hüttel, Matthias Ritter, Viacheslav Esaulov and Martin Odening

European Review of Agricultural Economics, 2016, vol. 43, issue 1, 165-187

Abstract: This article applies the concept of a term structure to agricultural land rental prices. Based on theoretical considerations, we develop a hedonic pricing model that allows for different shapes of the term structure curve while controlling for other price-relevant characteristics. We apply this model to land lease contracts in Saxony-Anhalt. We find an upward-sloping term structure during the agricultural price boom in 2007 and 2008, where market participants expected increasing rental prices. For the subsequent years, however, we detect a single-humped term structure. Hence, market participants revised their expectations and assumed a decline of land rental prices in the long term.

Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (18)

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European Review of Agricultural Economics is currently edited by Timothy Richards, Salvatore Di Falco, Céline Nauges and Vincenzina Caputo

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