Growth, Inequality and Simulated Poverty Paths for Tanzania, 1992--2002

Gabriel Demombynes () and Johannes G. Hoogeveen

Journal of African Economies, 2007, vol. 16, issue 4, 596-628

Abstract: This paper assesses the likely trajectory of poverty rates in Tanzania between 1992 and 2002. To this end, it uses unit-record household survey data from 1992 and 2001 and national accounts growth rates. The projection approach of Datt and Walker (2002) is applied and an extension presented, which is better suited to taking into account distributional changes observed between the two household surveys. The simulations suggest that following increases in poverty during the economic slowdown of the early 1990s, recent growth in Tanzania has brought a decline in poverty, particularly in urban areas. Growth in urban areas will only make a relatively small dent in poverty, and to achieve the 2015 Millennium Development Goal for poverty, Tanzania will need high and accelerated per capita rural growth rates. Copyright 2007 The author 2007. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Centre for the Study of African Economies. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org, Oxford University Press.

Date: 2007
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (15)

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jae/ejm002 (application/pdf)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:oup:jafrec:v:16:y:2007:i:4:p:596-628

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://academic.oup.com/journals

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of African Economies is currently edited by Francis Teal

More articles in Journal of African Economies from Centre for the Study of African Economies Oxford University Press, Great Clarendon Street, Oxford OX2 6DP, UK. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Oxford University Press ().