 Mega-Deals: What Consequences for SSA?Houssein Guimbard and Maëlan Le Goff () Journal of African Economies, 2017, vol. 26, issue 2, 223-255 Abstract: The SSA countries are excluded from the mega-deals, free trade agreements (FTA) currently under negotiations between several large economies (EU–USA, EU–Japan, China–Japan–Korea, Trans-Pacific Partnership and ASEAN+6). As SSA exports remain dependent on these large markets, SSA countries could undergo important economic impacts. Using a dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model, we find that mega-deals would have a negative impact on the welfare of SSA countries. Regional integration (through the negotiation of the ‘Tripartite’ FTA, which gathers, 26 African countries) might limit these losses, but SSA countries that are not involved still undergo negative consequences. A continental regional trade agreement involving all SSA countries would counterbalance the negative impacts of the mega-deals. We also show that openness of SSA countries towards Asia could be a potential solution to avoid trade diversion. Keywords: mega-deals; regional integration; trade policies; computable general equilibrium; Sub-Saharan Africa (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:oup:jafrec:v:26:y:2017:i:2:p:223-255. Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from Access Statistics for this article Journal of African Economies is currently edited by Francis Teal More articles in Journal of African Economies from Centre for the Study of African Economies Oxford University Press, Great Clarendon Street, Oxford OX2 6DP, UK. Contact information at EDIRC. |
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