Local warming and violent conflict in North and South Sudan

Jean-François Maystadt, Margherita Calderone and Liangzhi You

Journal of Economic Geography, 2015, vol. 15, issue 3, 649-671

Abstract: Our article contributes to the emerging micro-level strand of the literature on the link between local variations in weather shocks and conflicts by focusing on a pixel-level analysis for North and South Sudan between 1997 and 2009. Temperature anomalies are found to strongly affect the risk of conflict, whereas the risk is expected to magnify in a range of 24–31% in the future under a median scenario. Our analysis also sheds light on the competition over natural resources, in particular water, as the main driver of such relationship in a region where pastoralism constitutes the dominant livelihood.

Date: 2015
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Related works:
Working Paper: Local Warming and Violent Conflict in North and South Sudan (2013)
Working Paper: Local Warming and Violent Conflict in North and South Sudan (2013)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:oup:jecgeo:v:15:y:2015:i:3:p:649-671.

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