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Does agglomeration discourage fertility? Evidence from the Japanese General Social Survey 2000–2010

Keisuke Kondo

Journal of Economic Geography, 2019, vol. 19, issue 3, 677-704

Abstract: This study employs Japanese household-level data to quantify the extent to which congestion diseconomy in large cities affects married couples’ fertility behavior. The theoretical model of this study emphasizes the importance of controlling for preference heterogeneity in the demand for children. The baseline quantification shows that, all else equal, a 10-fold difference in city size generates a spatial variation of −22.13% in the average number of children born to couples aged 30 and a spatial variation of −6.07% at age 49. The narrowing of the gap suggests that the young married couples in larger cities delay childbearing.

Keywords: Fertility; agglomeration; spatial distribution; social survey (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J10 J13 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Working Paper: Does Agglomeration Discourage Fertility? Evidence from the Japanese General Social Survey 2000-2010 (2015) Downloads
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Journal of Economic Geography is currently edited by Jorge De la Roca, Stephen Gibbons, Simona Iammarino, Amanda Ross and James Faulconbridge

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