Holes in the Dike: The Global Savings Glut, U.S. House Prices, and the Long Shadow of Banking Deregulation

Mathias Hoffmann and Iryna Stewen

Journal of the European Economic Association, 2020, vol. 18, issue 4, 2013-2055

Abstract: We show how capital inflows into and financial deregulation within the United States interacted in driving the recent boom and bust in U.S. housing prices. Interstate banking deregulation during the 1980s cast a long shadow: in states that opened their banking markets to out-of-state banks earlier, house prices were more sensitive to aggregate U.S. capital inflows during 1997–2012. Capital inflows relaxed the value-at-risk constraints of geographically diversified (“integrated”) U.S. banks more than those of local banks. Therefore, integrated banks absorbed a larger share of capital inflows and expanded mortgage lending more. This drove up housing prices.

Date: 2020
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Related works:
Working Paper: Holes in the Dike: the global savings glut, U.S. house prices and the long shadow of banking deregulation (2016)
Working Paper: Holes in the Dike: The Global Savings Glut, U.S. House Prices and the Long Shadow of Banking Deregulation (2015)
Working Paper: Holes in the Dike: the global savings glut, U.S. house prices and the long shadow of banking deregulation (2015)
Working Paper: Holes in the Dike: the global savings glut, U.S. house prices and the long shadow of banking deregulation (2015)
Working Paper: Holes in the Dike: the global savings glut, U.S. house prices and the long shadow of banking deregulation (2014)
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