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Climate change and economic activity: evidence from US states

Kamiar Mohaddes, Ryan N C Ng, Mohammad Pesaran, Mehdi Raissi and Jui-Chung Yang

Oxford Open Economics, 2023, vol. 2, 28-46

Abstract: We investigate the long-term macroeconomic effects of climate change across 48 US states over the period 1963–2016 using a novel econometric strategy that links deviations of temperature and precipitation (weather) from their long-term moving-average historical norms (climate) to various state-specific economic performance indicators at the aggregate and sectoral levels. We show that climate change has a long-lasting adverse impact on real output in various states and economic sectors, and on labour productivity and employment in the United States. Moreover, in contrast to most cross-country results, our within US estimates tend to be asymmetrical with respect to deviations of climate variables (including precipitation) from their historical norms.

Keywords: climate change; economic growth; adaptation; United States (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Related works:
Working Paper: Climate Change and Economic Activity: Evidence from U.S. States (2022) Downloads
Working Paper: Climate Change and Economic Activity: Evidence from U.S. States (2022) Downloads
Working Paper: Climate Change and Economic Activity: Evidence from U.S. States (2022) Downloads
Working Paper: Climate change and economic activity: Evidence from US states (2022) Downloads
Working Paper: Climate change and economic activity: evidence from US states (2022) Downloads
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