Optimal Union Wage Setting Behaviour and the Non-neutrality of Anticipated Monetary Changes
Howard F Naish
Oxford Economic Papers, 1988, vol. 40, issue 2, 346-64
Abstract:
A model of optimal union wage setting behavior is developed in whic h anticipated monetary changes are not neutral in the short run. This result depends on two elements. First, fully anticipated monetary changes affect the variance of optimal forecasts. Second, changes in the variance of price forecasts lead to changes in real union behavior, provided that union utility functions are geometrically asymmetric, which, it is argued, will typically be the case. It is shown how, under certain conditions, a fully anticipated monetary contraction can actually lead to a higher nominal wage rate and price level. Copyright 1988 by Royal Economic Society.
Date: 1988
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